Let’s face it:

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Proof that we are extremely good at preparing…when the risk is high, the timeframe short.

Is the risk high for Cascadia?

Looking at the percentages below (all based on a 50-year outlook), sometimes it feels like the level of risk depends on who you ask. (Click the buttons to read the articles)

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Which percentage is correct?? Well, it depends. Each percentage is correct because each uses different criteria from the three elements below.


If you are interested in seeing how the calculations work for the probabilities, click on this CALCULATIONS page. It’s very helpful to have a way to understand where these numbers come from!

Yet none of those percentages tell us the whole story.

History does.

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