Probability

Let’s face it:

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Proof that we are extremely good at preparing…when the risk is high, the timeframe short.

Is the risk high for Cascadia?

Looking at the percentages below (all based on a 50-year outlook), sometimes it feels like the level of risk depends on who you ask. (Click the buttons to read the articles)

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Which percentage is correct?? Well, it depends. Each percentage is correct because each uses different criteria from the three elements below.

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If you are interested in seeing how the calculations work for the probabilities, click on this CALCULATIONS page. It’s very helpful to have a way to understand where these numbers come from!

Yet none of those percentages tell us the whole story.

History does.

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